Elementary Statistics

Probability 128 Where You’ve Been Where You’re Going 129 3.1 Basic Concepts of Probability and Counting 130 Activity: Simulating the Stock Market 146 3.2 Conditional Probability and the Multiplication Rule 147 3.3 The Addition Rule 157 Activity: Simulating the Probability of Rolling a 3 or 4 166 Case Study: United States Congress 167 3.4 Additional Topics in Probability and Counting 168 Uses and Abuses: Statistics in the Real World 178 Chapter Summary 179 Review Exercises 180 Chapter Quiz 184 Chapter Test 185 Real Statistics—Real Decisions: Putting it all together 186 Technology: Simulation: Composing Mozart Variations with Dice 187 Discrete Probability Distributions 188 Where You’ve Been Where You’re Going 189 4.1 Probability Distributions 190 4.2 Binomial Distributions 201 Activity: Binomial Distribution 214 Case Study: Distribution of Number of Hits in Baseball Games 215 4.3 More Discrete Probability Distributions 216 Uses and Abuses: Statistics in the Real World 223 Chapter Summary 224 Review Exercises 225 Chapter Quiz 228 Chapter Test 229 Real Statistics—Real Decisions: Putting it all together 230 Technology: Using Poisson Distributions as Queuing Models 231 3 4 PART 2 PROBABILITY AND PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS vi CONTENTS

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