Elementary Statistics

SECTION 9.3 Measures of Regression and Prediction Intervals 501 Finding the Standard Error of Estimate The regression equation for the gross domestic products and carbon dioxide emissions data is ny = 187.660x + 44.663. See Example 1 in Section 9.2. Find the standard error of estimate. SOLUTION Use a table to calculate the sum of the squared differences of each observed y@value and the corresponding predicted y@value. xi yi nyi yi − nyi 1yi − nyi2 2 1.7 620.1 363.685 256.415 65,748.65223 2.4 475.2 495.047 -19.847 393.903409 3.0 457.6 607.643 -150.043 22,512.90185 1.2 389.7 269.855 119.845 14,362.82403 4.1 810.8 814.069 -3.269 10.686361 2.3 352.9 476.281 -123.381 15,222.87116 0.9 235.0 213.557 21.443 459.802249 1.8 297.8 382.451 -84.651 7165.791801 2.9 413.9 588.877 -174.977 30,616.95053 5.4 1216.5 1058.027 158.473 25,113.69173 Σ = 181,608.0754 Unexplained variation Because n = 10 and Σ1yi - nyi2 2 = 181,608.0754 are used, the standard error of estimate is se = CΣ1yi - nyi2 2 n - 2 = A181,608.0754 10 - 2 ≈ 150.669. Interpretation The standard error of estimate of the carbon dioxide emissions for a specific gross domestic product is about 150.669 million metric tons. TRY IT YOURSELF 2 A researcher collects the data shown below and concludes that there is a significant relationship between the amount of radio advertising time (in minutes per week) and the weekly sales of a product (in hundreds of dollars). Radio ad time, x 15 20 20 30 40 45 50 60 Weekly sales, y 26 32 38 56 54 78 80 88 Find the standard error of estimate. Use the regression equation ny = 1.405x + 7.311. Answer: Page A42 EXAMPLE 2

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